Wallet profile

Complicated-Sailboat-Initialise

0xb767acca4b6c04da69b5042c7b5660b99932d848

activity 40/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

40/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

85

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-27.5K

Realised

$-9.8K

Win rate

25%

56 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 85

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$38.4K

Trades

1

Buy share

78%

Window

Jun 20, 01:20 UTC → Jun 21, 02:26 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $10.0K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

55/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

25% win rate over 56 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

36 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

56 closed markets, 25% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$10.0K

1 trades

Buy share

78%

Sample

limited

4 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

$10.0K · 26% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?26% of recorded volume$10.0KWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?26% of recorded volume$10.0KWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?26% of recorded volume$10.0K

Profile dimensions

Activity68 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry41 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
36
Avg trade size
$1.7K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 23, 02:21 UTC
Last active
Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
Win rate sample
56 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 09:37:05 UTC·src:Polymarket Data