Well-Made-Obligation
0xb769d56be4ce74c327f071be848e6ea3c57f1567
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$215.86
Total PnL
$0.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$30.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Player 148 win Beast Games: Season 2?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$14.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.61
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$10.50Feb 18, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$10.00Feb 18, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.00Feb 18, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.00Feb 18, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 148 win Beast Games: Season 2?$20.00Feb 18, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2?$20.00Feb 18, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$30.00Feb 18, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$20.00Feb 18, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$30.00Feb 18, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$20.00Feb 18, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$20.00Feb 18, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?$14.67Feb 18, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$20.02Feb 18, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$20.02Feb 18, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$20.02Feb 18, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$20.04Feb 18, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.04Feb 18, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.04Feb 18, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$20.08Feb 18, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$20.10Feb 18, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $28.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 15:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".