0xb77a05b9cbf40303d316ed4012973f0372004238
0xb77a05b9cbf40303d316ed4012973f0372004238
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$19.24
Total PnL
$-16.15
Realised
$24.61
Win rate
17%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 16?
6 shares @ 50.4¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$4.58
$1.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?
4 shares @ 47.7¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.24
$0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 16?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 12.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$1.57
$0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 16?
8 shares @ 12.5¢·now 14.3¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 16?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 17?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 17?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 18?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 16?$0.45Aug 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 16?$1.05Aug 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 17?$1.03Aug 16, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 17?$1.03Aug 16, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?$1.05Aug 16, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 16?$1.05Aug 16, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 16?$1.05Aug 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 18?$1.05Aug 16, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?$1.03Aug 16, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?$1.03Aug 16, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?$1.64Aug 16, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 17?$0.35Aug 16, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?$1.04Aug 16, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?$1.04Aug 16, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 16?$2.40Aug 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?$0.15Aug 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?$0.55Aug 16, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 16?$2.05Aug 16, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on August 16?$0.16Aug 16, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?$0.12Aug 16, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 19:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.