Formal-Riser
0xb77c42f66d519f6775ca101a1a72254afc549c0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?$1.01Dec 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$1.21Dec 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.54Dec 15, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?$1.00Dec 11, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Playing Gracie Darling" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.01Dec 11, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Playing Gracie Darling" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.00Dec 3, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.05Dec 3, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.03Nov 27, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.97Nov 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$1.20Nov 8, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.50Oct 29, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$13.0KOct 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.50Oct 13, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$6.5KOct 13, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$6.5KOct 13, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$13.0KOct 13, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.