Experienced-Estrogen
0xb77e232e85440a12d1654cd84f2bf53ecc4bc7a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.16
Total PnL
$-43.83
Realised
$0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5AM ET
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Helius be accused of insider trading?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grayscale be accused of insider trading?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jito be accused of insider trading?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 27, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?$1.00Mar 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 4, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.71Feb 28, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$0.89Feb 28, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$0.78Feb 28, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 1?$1.80Feb 28, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 28?$6.78Feb 28, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 28?$8.00Feb 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.00Feb 28, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.96Feb 28, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.00Feb 28, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.09Feb 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$4.93Feb 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.47Feb 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on February 28?$1.00Feb 27, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 1?$1.00Feb 27, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".