0xb77e363f628259edb3840700bc9dc953710215b6
0xb77e363f628259edb3840700bc9dc953710215b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-112.60
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 4?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 9?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 6?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 9?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 9?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 6?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 4?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 6?
500 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?$35.00Jul 15, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 15?$35.00Jul 15, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 15?$35.00Jul 15, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 15?$20.00Jul 15, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?$0.00Jul 15, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?$35.00Jul 15, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?$35.00Jul 15, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?$35.00Jul 15, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 14?$20.00Jul 15, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 14?$20.00Jul 15, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 14?$20.00Jul 15, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?$35.00Jul 14, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?$35.00Jul 14, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 13?$35.00Jul 14, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?$35.00Jul 14, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on July 15?$0.07Jul 13, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 15?$0.07Jul 13, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 15?$0.03Jul 13, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 15?$0.13Jul 13, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 15?$0.99Jul 13, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $0.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 04:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 23:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.