Elliptical-Margin
0xb7868dd085d2614085a44a867c15eb0b5e046510
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$154.95
Total PnL
$6.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
103 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$102.99
$2.99
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.22
$2.22
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
18 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.65
$0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$18.00Mar 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$20.00Mar 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$100.00Mar 11, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$5.00Mar 11, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5600 in September?$22.22Mar 11, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in September?$43.16Mar 11, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$52.08Mar 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6000 in September?$41.00Sep 11, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5600 in September?$20.00Sep 11, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$50.00Sep 11, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?$5.03Sep 11, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on May 31?$5.49Sep 11, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?$5.00May 19, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on May 31?$5.00May 19, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?$21.51May 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?$16.00Mar 28, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$0.00Mar 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$28.00Jan 19, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$1.22Jan 19, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $24.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.