Glamorous-Boxspring
0xb79013b51ac1304cf2f9fcc63e387f1278f4b727
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
15 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110k in May?$3.88May 14, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "War" 5+ times during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?$0.95May 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "War" 5+ times during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?$1.00May 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110k in May?$5.00May 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon say "China" during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?$2.80May 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon say "China" during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?$4.70May 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon say "China" during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?$3.00May 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon say "China" during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?$5.00May 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week?$1.00May 8, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?$2.00May 5, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$3.00May 5, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$4.00May 5, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$9.85May 5, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$10.00May 5, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 03:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.