Attentive-Overload-Allergist
0xb7928d5ca742679159458d63c684db96e57f04f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$197.50
Total PnL
$-120.24
Realised
$-9.29
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
159 shares @ 85.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.13
$11.10
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 80.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$45.99
$4.16
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
24 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.68
$-0.96
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
31 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$-0.14
- YES
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
54 shares @ 14.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$-6.41
- KRAJICEK/MEKTIC
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Krajicek/Mektic
108 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-65.88
- DANIIL OSTAPENKOV
ITF Kutaisi: Yanki Erel vs Daniil Ostapenkov
45 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.95
- YES
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31?
30 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- BOR ARTNAK
ITF Kranjska Gora: Bor Artnak vs Maximilian Homberg
16 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.43
- DUJE MARKOVINA
ITF Bol: Duje Markovina vs Duje Ajdukovic
15 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 8, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 8, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.24Jul 4, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$31.02Jul 1, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$3.91Jul 1, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.39Jul 1, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.26Jul 1, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.39Jul 1, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$2.48Jul 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$2.01Jul 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$2.48Jul 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$6.87Jul 1, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$7.17Jul 1, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$6.87Jul 1, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$7.17Jul 1, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$6.87Jul 1, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$7.17Jul 1, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$6.86Jul 1, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$7.08Jul 1, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$6.87Jul 1, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.