Intent-Underwriting-Offence
0xb7a5002abcb37655ecbd6fdde69ff17c1643df4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.69
Total PnL
$-75.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.23
$-0.17
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in July?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.46
$-3.54
- SWEDEN
Spread: France (-1.5)
40 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- NO
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
16 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UNDER
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DR CONGO
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.10 in July?$4.00Jul 7, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$3.39Jul 3, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$3.48Jul 3, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$2.02Jul 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$5.00Jul 2, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$3.85Jul 2, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 1, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$4.99Jul 1, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$2.50Jul 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$2.94Jul 1, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$1.01Jul 1, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$1.03Jul 1, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$2.79Jul 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$11.55Jun 30, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$9.75Jun 30, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$32.26Jun 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$8.12Jun 30, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$20.23Jun 30, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$10.13Jun 30, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$9.54Jun 30, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.