Faithful-Baritone
0xb7a5e0cd46dfaebd3a1575db71074c0a540373a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$707.93
Total PnL
$-2.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
268 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$266.53
$-0.13
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$99.55
$-0.25
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$99.55
$-0.25
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$99.55
$-0.25
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$99.55
$-0.25
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 17 above $140?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$14.93
$-0.06
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 17 above $20?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$14.78
$-0.21
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 17 above $30?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$13.51
$-1.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$266.66Aug 19, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$263.34Aug 18, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 17 above $140?$14.99Aug 17, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 17 above $30?$14.99Aug 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 17 above $20?$14.99Aug 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?$99.81Aug 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?$99.81Aug 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?$99.81Aug 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?$99.81Aug 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$263.02Aug 17, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.50?$200.00Aug 14, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $130?$451.49Aug 14, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.75 Week of August 10 2026?$55.00Aug 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $130?$451.02Aug 8, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.50?$198.08Aug 8, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.75 Week of August 10 2026?$54.47Aug 8, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 3 above $6.00?$133.00Aug 7, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$156.00Aug 7, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$200.00Aug 7, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$216.00Aug 5, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $107.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.