Juvenile-Injustice
0xb7ae65611d2ca8336eb5ebd7baf45cc07bb0c4f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-514.12
Realised
$4.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98,000 on November 6?
12049 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
1351 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 7?
652 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
502 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-49.74
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 4?
354 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
232 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.95
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
123 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-29.44
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?
117 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$30.11Jul 6, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$30.00Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$6.14Jul 5, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$30.49Jul 1, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-01?$35.57Jul 1, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$15.27Jul 1, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?$51.44Jun 21, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$51.38Jun 21, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$104.55Jun 20, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$69.70Jun 20, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$101.66Jun 20, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$100.00Jun 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$60.72Jun 19, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$49.55Jun 19, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$13.05Jun 19, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$40.25Jun 19, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$40.00Jun 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$28.80Jun 18, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-17?$28.81Jun 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$17.21Jun 17, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $52.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 03:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.