Small-Palace
0xb7b92624750175098826bd2879b6905802a5fe89
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$24.69
Total PnL
$0.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 49.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.01
$2.01
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.77
$0.77
- NO
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.03
$0.53
- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$2.62Dec 26, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?$5.56Dec 21, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.19Dec 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.39Dec 17, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?$5.00Dec 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$2.25Dec 11, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.49Dec 11, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $0.02Dec 11, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.04Dec 11, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMBengals vs. Bills$1.41Dec 9, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$4.90Dec 7, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.88Dec 7, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$2.88Dec 7, 03:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1.00Dec 5, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Dec 5, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?$0.00Dec 5, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.98Dec 5, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?$0.98Dec 5, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?$0.98Dec 5, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".