Vivid-Sunrise-Labour
0xb7bdfda96f647cca7b1dece8364d284f3f5c68b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$357.11
Total PnL
$-183.23
Realised
$35.44
Win rate
92%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?
200 shares @ 62.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$198.50
$74.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?
90 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$89.94
$6.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 28?
18 shares @ 53.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$17.99
$8.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$14.50
$6.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 29?
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.80
$2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 28?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$9.99
$1.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.96
$1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 29?
115 shares @ 12.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.03
$-10.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?
15 shares @ 27.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.83
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.40
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$14.57Jul 28, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$24.05Jul 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.14Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.04Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.18Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.70Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.31Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.42Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.56Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.04Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.74Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$0.87Jul 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$19.96Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 28?$20.00Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$4.79Jul 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$15.97Jul 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$9.90Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$3.17Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$15.11Jul 28, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$8.54Jul 28, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.