Feisty-Rainy
0xb7cc0a713a5c2775586b598f020f9dab0e75cec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$135.95
Total PnL
$-8.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
26 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$26.11
$0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July?
26 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$26.09
$-0.01
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
24 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.56
$-0.04
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
15 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$15.17
$0.07
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.55
$-0.05
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.90
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
9 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.12
$0.02
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in July?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.08
$-0.02
- NO
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.11
$0.01
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
262 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.70
$0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$23.60Jul 28, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July?$26.10Jul 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$26.10Jul 28, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$11.60Jul 25, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$16.03Jul 23, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in July?$6.10Jul 21, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.90Jul 21, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?$9.10Jul 20, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.10Jul 17, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$8.90Jul 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$6.20Jul 10, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$15.91Jul 2, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?$9.26Jul 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$273.45Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$258.06Jun 30, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMCap FDV above $400M one day after launch?$212.69Jun 27, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $400M one day after launch?$212.14Jun 27, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?$9.20Jun 27, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?$2.21Jun 27, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$13.80Jun 27, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $56.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.