Irritating-Fowl
0xb7cf9722129613a7a2220495cc7d16d1e1afc0a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$6.96
Total PnL
$-434.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Little Joe escape again?
7 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.96
$0.51
- YES
Bitcoin above 83,200 on May 14, 4PM ET?
323 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 24?
293 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-17.59
- YES
Ethereum above 2,370 on May 14, 4PM ET?
258 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- YES
Ethereum above 2,345 on May 14, 7PM ET?
215 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
- YES
Bitcoin above 82,200 on May 14, 7PM ET?
215 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 21?
198 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.97
- YES
Ethereum above 2,345 on May 14, 1PM ET?
161 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Ethereum above 2,320 on May 14, 6PM ET?
143 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.73
- YES
Ethereum above 2,335 on May 14, 2PM ET?
108 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?$10.02Jun 28, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?$9.72Jun 21, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 3?$10.04Jun 4, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 3?$9.72Jun 3, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?$9.72May 25, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 24?$10.08May 24, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 24?$9.77May 24, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 24?$9.77May 24, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox$35.06May 23, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$35.84May 23, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$16.13May 23, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox$16.13May 23, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.08May 23, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies$2.25May 23, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies$2.73May 23, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on May 21?$6.62May 22, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $40 on May 21?$6.52May 22, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 21?$6.58May 22, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $50 on May 21?$6.52May 22, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $60 on May 21?$6.52May 22, 05:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $9.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.