Nocturnal-Effect
0xb7d6546428e20b0929d6313a23afbd069c8471cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$50.06
Total PnL
$-5.29
Realised
$3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$50.06
$6.01
- YES
Will Solana dip to $140 September 29-October 5?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
4300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will Yōko Kamikawa be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$44.00Apr 20, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$22.78Apr 13, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.00Apr 13, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$7.28Apr 13, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.93Apr 13, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$6.00Apr 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$100.00Apr 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$27.30Apr 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.68Apr 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$182.77Apr 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$49.10Apr 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$7.20Apr 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$20.00Apr 13, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$89.90Apr 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$89.00Apr 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$450.00Apr 13, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$90.02Apr 13, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$104.75Feb 17, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $63.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 03:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".