Famous-Downstairs
0xb7df504bcb0734fa498cce68829bb6ba9b80e1a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$10.27May 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$9.96May 19, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$9.99May 19, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$9.71May 9, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 7?$9.72Apr 8, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 7?$9.49Apr 7, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$9.48Apr 7, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$9.18Mar 30, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 26?$1.00Mar 26, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2.41Feb 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.20Feb 28, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $6.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.