Testy-Corduroy
0xb7eceb97b2dce79c67dba70ec67950f160563a46
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$312.53
Total PnL
$127.45
Realised
$91.32
Win rate
82%
65 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 20°C or below on August 21?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$34.00
$32.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or below on August 21?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 40.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$33.33
$31.33
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 12°C or below on August 21?
88 shares @ 2.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$28.96
$27.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 15°C or below on August 21?
63 shares @ 2.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$27.75
$26.49
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on August 21?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$26.50
$24.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 21?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$26.50
$24.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on August 21?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 26.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$21.67
$19.67
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on August 21?
81 shares @ 2.4¢·now 26.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$21.01
$19.09
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on August 21?
58 shares @ 2.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$19.57
$18.40
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 25°C on August 21?
71 shares @ 2.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$19.56
$17.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on August 21?$0.83Aug 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C or below on August 21?$0.34Aug 20, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on August 21?$0.17Aug 20, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C or below on August 21?$0.35Aug 20, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 20?$0.64Aug 20, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 20?$0.40Aug 20, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C or higher on August 21?$0.35Aug 20, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C or below on August 21?$0.31Aug 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C or below on August 21?$0.10Aug 20, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 20?$1.42Aug 20, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 20?$1.00Aug 20, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 20?$0.82Aug 20, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Jinan be 12°C or below on August 21?$0.76Aug 20, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on August 21?$1.00Aug 20, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 21?$1.00Aug 20, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 21?$0.75Aug 20, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or higher on August 21?$3.00Aug 20, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 20?$0.43Aug 20, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on August 21?$0.22Aug 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C or below on August 21?$1.00Aug 20, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 65 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
65 closed markets, 82% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 20:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 65 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.