Fine-Harmony
0xb7f7842f85a8e7d0c0fa47fd5b83d9743fc386f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$75.80
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1190 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
895 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-282.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on January 13?
744 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.22
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 4PM ET
700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
555 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 40°C on January 12?
490 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.38
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
442 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 39°C on January 12?
414 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-26.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
370 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$30.77Jul 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$20.50Jul 8, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$25.49Jul 8, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$30.03Mar 2, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$43.38Mar 2, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$37.19Feb 28, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$32.26Feb 28, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$2.00Feb 19, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$5.00Feb 19, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 19, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$10.00Feb 19, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$10.00Feb 19, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$5.00Feb 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$2.00Feb 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$25.00Feb 19, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.00Feb 12, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?$0.00Feb 7, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?$0.00Feb 7, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $37.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.