Trustworthy-Bricklaying
0xb7fb109adb7575e3c1a77f70a2f27a84ef93aaac
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.3K
Realised
$48.39
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3754 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
1261 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-283.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
1079 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-381.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
1050 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-381.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
772 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-335.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
758 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-286.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
736 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-296.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
690 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-295.50
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.31Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.84Jun 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.84Jun 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.82Jun 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.80Jun 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.70Jun 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2.50Jun 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.50Jun 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.57Jun 17, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$2.50Jun 17, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.54Jun 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.91Jun 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.47Jun 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.50Jun 17, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$6.42Jun 17, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.50Jun 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.11Jun 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.39Jun 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.28Jun 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.50Jun 17, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.