Pitiful-Conference-Impression
0xb7fdcd588f920c97d4195357a1ea6e01e6286854
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.83
Total PnL
$-18.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.80
$0.80
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 11?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$1.64Jul 14, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$3.70Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?$1.02Jul 11, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.18Jul 11, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$1.03Jul 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 11?$1.05Jul 11, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$1.03Jul 8, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$1.03Jul 8, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$1.02Jul 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.02Jul 8, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$1.02Jul 8, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$1.01Jul 8, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.54Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.35Jul 1, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.12Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 27?$1.27May 31, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?$1.20May 30, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.00May 28, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 28, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00May 28, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 22:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 22:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.