Failing-Loggia
0xb7fec1b83ab9105e3ec87336aa88db56c5d29c10
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-266.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on March 26?
1009 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
68 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
46 shares @ 85.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-39.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
42 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
35 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$19.79Apr 16, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$4.00Apr 16, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.40Apr 16, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$10.39Apr 16, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$3.44Apr 16, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.00Apr 14, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.24Apr 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$18.19Apr 11, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$18.02Apr 11, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$16.44Apr 11, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$10.00Apr 11, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$11.58Apr 11, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$11.47Apr 11, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$11.47Apr 11, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $9.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 03:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.