Daring-Nonbeliever
0xb816d68d6140e577f4773d57498319218785db62
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$36.34
Total PnL
$0.48
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
27 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.42
$0.23
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.51
$0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.34
$0.06
- NO
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
2 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.26
$0.10
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.70
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
1 shares @ 89.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.69Mar 13, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.45Mar 13, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.28Mar 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.16Mar 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$9.58Mar 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$11.86Feb 1, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.38Jan 25, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$23.63Jan 25, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?$17.07Jan 25, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phantom launch a token in 2025?$18.80Jan 25, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phantom launch a token in 2025?$18.69Dec 26, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)$888.69Dec 22, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)$408.80Dec 22, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?$16.71Oct 7, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?$16.71Oct 7, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?$16.66Aug 26, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$16.66Aug 26, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$16.59Jul 11, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $180 in June?$16.60Jul 11, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $18.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 04:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.