Notable-Tussle
0xb819dcf3d1494732a966bd75ff79673953ad1f1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$210.07
Total PnL
$-38.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
155 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$155.00
$23.25
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
55 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$55.07
$2.26
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 5% or more?
155 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.62
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?
155 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.09
- YES
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 5% or more?$7.62Mar 3, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$12.09Mar 3, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$131.75Mar 3, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition$153.03Mar 3, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$52.81Feb 24, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition$61.21Feb 5, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$11.23Jan 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$4.49Jan 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$7.75Jan 14, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$0.00Jan 14, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$0.00Jan 14, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$0.00Jan 14, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?$0.00Jan 14, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: December$0.00Jan 14, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$127.00Jan 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$26.00Dec 27, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$6.40Dec 27, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$10.00Dec 27, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$21.00Dec 27, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$7.90Dec 27, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $35.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.