Unaware-Insectarium
0xb81f0503d91cb54e6fcdde2b3b9b332ced1e394d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$137.34
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$48.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?
137 shares @ 36.4¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$39.85
$-10.15
- YES
Will the announcers say "Hand of God" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?
63 shares @ 79.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$38.67
$-11.33
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45 shares @ 11.2¢·now 22.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.16
$5.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the match not air?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
1999 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
392 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?$51.27Jul 15, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Crossbar" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$50.88Jul 15, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Hand of God" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$50.41Jul 15, 11:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Cleat" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?$51.69Jul 7, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?$51.24Jul 7, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Cleat" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?$51.69Jul 7, 15:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$50.74Jul 6, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "VAR" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$201.12Jul 6, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?$102.98Jul 6, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$51.35Jul 6, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $56.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.