Vivid-Dare
0xb81ff8dd4e53fad2a310ceaacb8259fbafcc0cf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.69
Total PnL
$-1.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 19?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 21?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.66
$0.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9PM ET
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 19?$2.00May 18, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 21?$1.60Apr 21, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$29.75Mar 10, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$29.74Mar 9, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$737.04Mar 9, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$737.78Mar 9, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$254.28Mar 9, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$254.54Mar 9, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyle Larin be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$748.50Mar 9, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyle Larin be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$749.25Mar 9, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$19.94Mar 9, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.06Mar 9, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?$488.04Mar 9, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?$207.10Mar 9, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?$697.20Mar 9, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$536.66Mar 9, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$537.22Mar 9, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 10PM ET$3.03Mar 9, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$19.96Mar 9, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 8, 10PM ET$3.00Mar 9, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $269.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 04:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.