Double-Diction
0xb829340b595fc18e6030b201c6d8e2979da5415f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$225.89
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-73.90
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
113 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$76.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
95 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$60.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
82 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$49.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
154 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$39.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.03
$-49.97
- YES
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
3086 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
1955 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-252.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
281 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-67.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4PM ET
121 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-60.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
110 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$76.75Jun 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$50.58Jun 13, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$40.89Jun 13, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$60.67Jun 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$50.28Jun 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$33.00Jun 12, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$15.00Jun 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$7.00Jun 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$6.75Jun 8, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$20.00Jun 8, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.75Jun 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$5.50Jun 7, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.10Jun 6, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.55Jun 6, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.65Jun 6, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2.20Jun 6, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.65Jun 6, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2.75Jun 6, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$3.85Jun 6, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.94Jun 6, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $68.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.