Royal-Knickers
0xb831a1d17dc7cc13815e665fb94f34473e33892b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
48%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.5K
$2.2K
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.75
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
29892 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
29833 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
29394 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
22395 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-44.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
21156 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-21.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
17635 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-17.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
12282 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-45.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
12020 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-24.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.40Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$8.55Jun 1, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$3.61Jun 1, 21:54 UTC
- SPLITWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.5KJun 1, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$4.0KJun 1, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026?$0.01Jun 1, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026?$0.01Jun 1, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026?$0.01Jun 1, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $8.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.