Insistent-Cape
0xb83750f6b24dcf1305dfb3a26f353b9c2f7308c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 5AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
70 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
9 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.20
- NO
Ethereum above $4300 on September 8?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.18Feb 19, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$12.09Feb 19, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Jan 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$28.87Jan 22, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$21.00Jan 22, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$11.00Jan 22, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.00Jan 22, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$9.47Jan 22, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$11.63Jan 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$10.00Dec 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$9.00Dec 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 5AM ET$2.00Dec 2, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Dec 2, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Dec 2, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$7.80Dec 1, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$8.20Dec 1, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130K in September?$2.13Dec 1, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?$2.70Sep 21, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.