Husky-Sticker
0xb83b253e76cd033118d7e77872ca73d92f67dfbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$238.12
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
26602 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-325.34
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
26507 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?
2923 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.99
- YES
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2413 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.48
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2150 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-259.96
- YES
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2029 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-114.75
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
1420 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-21.30
- NO
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1185 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-13.42
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
1148 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-219.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?$99.00Feb 19, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?$994.00Feb 16, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$1.2KFeb 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$0.26Feb 9, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$6.10Feb 9, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$0.02Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$0.03Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$0.00Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$0.02Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$0.03Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$0.05Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$8.40Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$7.20Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$7.50Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$5.40Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$5.60Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$0.60Feb 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$6.40Feb 6, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?$85.00Feb 5, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT win the okbet trading competition?$94.85Feb 5, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $62.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.