0xb83f717cd03598dde412bc63e8ec1f18914fb5b2
0xb83f717cd03598dde412bc63e8ec1f18914fb5b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
193
Open notional
$39.57
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-156.39
Win rate
37%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 193- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$39.57
$2.37
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
6155 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-192.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
3001 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
1968 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.98
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
1585 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-292.15
- YES
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?
1572 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-28.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
955 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
880 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
724 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.99
- NO
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
709 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-481.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Mar 2, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.00Mar 1, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$0.00Mar 1, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13?$0.00Mar 1, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's 2pm signing event not air?$0.00Mar 1, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 13, 5AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMNo release by March 1$0.00Mar 1, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMZachXBT investigation post over 6M views on day one?$0.00Mar 1, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMGov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?$0.00Mar 1, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 00:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.