0xb8415ce9e03af2618cf6f6c549c26e8953613cfb
0xb8415ce9e03af2618cf6f6c549c26e8953613cfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$27.9K
Total PnL
$37.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27871 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.3K
$8.3K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27871 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.6K
$-8.3K
- OVER
Matt Olson: Home Runs O/U 0.5
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$27.60
$26.40
- YES
Will the game go to extra innings?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs
54 shares @ 1.0¢·now 22.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$11.93
$11.39
Recent activity
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$502.46Jul 29, 07:34 UTC
- YIELD$1.72Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$27.4KJul 28, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) AND LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$250.62Jul 28, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) AND Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5) AND LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner$600.17Jul 28, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMGame 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?$1.17Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMGame 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?$10.4KJul 28, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?$2.0KJul 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?$2.2KJul 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?$3.0KJul 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?$1.2KJul 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?$1.0KJul 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?$1.01Jul 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?$1.00Jul 28, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMGame 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$3.3KJul 28, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMGame 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?$4.1KJul 28, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner$2.5KJul 28, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd - Map 1 Winner AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner$233.05Jul 28, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5) AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner$76.08Jul 28, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? AND Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? AND Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? AND Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? AND Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?$503.68Jul 28, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $457.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.