Realistic-Castle
0xb8425f5f0e1df93df6c60569cdc0b88392a4330e
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$155.26
Total PnL
$14.16
Realised
$3.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- AUSTRALIA
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia
75 shares @ 54.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$52.87
$12.37
- YES
Will Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$20.52
$15.61
- NO
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
51 shares @ 12.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.38
$13.26
- YES
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
72 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$16.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will Australia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
72 shares @ 40.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.80
$-18.00
- NO
Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
84 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.08
$0.00
- YES
Will Morocco be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
72 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$6.73
$-1.91
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
50 shares @ 30.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.25
$-8.85
- YES
Will Belgium be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
72 shares @ 5.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$6.12
$2.52
- YES
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
9 shares @ 25.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.56
$0.39
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$1.00Jun 14, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$80.00Jun 14, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$9.36Jun 14, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$18.00Jun 14, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$0.00Jun 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$28.80Jun 14, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$0.11Jun 14, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$18.00Jun 14, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$81.05Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$51.54Jun 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$28.46Jun 14, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$0.18Jun 14, 00:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.09Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$4.62Jun 14, 00:39 UTC
- REWARD$3.81Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$16.79Jun 13, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$4.57Jun 13, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$19.13Jun 13, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Breel Embolo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$10.00Jun 13, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $20.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.