Tough-Tailbud
0xb84b40bcfd14b45fd5dbc9e5415701705fda5f5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$12.07
Total PnL
$-25.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the #2 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $150 in October?$1.00Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Jerome Powell in October?$1.00Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?$1.01Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.01Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in October?$1.01Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela by October 31?$1.01Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $1.01Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$1.01Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$1.01Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.02Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$1.02Dec 26, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 26, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 22, 08:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $33.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".