Advanced-Work
0xb84d0d1cdc0140374f8ec555534e2f5c16da8988
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.00
Realised
$-8.70
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
245 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-65.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
13 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
8 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
6 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
5 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
5 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$4.63Mar 30, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.44Mar 30, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.26Mar 30, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.19Mar 30, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.45Mar 30, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.82Mar 30, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.45Mar 30, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.04Mar 30, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.31Mar 30, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$2.45Mar 30, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$8.64Mar 30, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.14Mar 30, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.14Mar 30, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.40Mar 30, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.23Mar 30, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.