Extraneous-Disappointment
0xb85081753e4a88d009c6ad6bf8f6df3ce9ee8a48
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Dec 20-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Robert O'Brien be Trump's Defense Secretary?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
236 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's Attorney General?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will another model be the top AI model on December 31?
183 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".