Tragic-Horse
0xb8526627e6a4a3a90d60b4d44326d4dd6245d599
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.33
Total PnL
$-4.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.33
$2.33
- NO
Will Switzerland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Germany record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Italy record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Kazakhstan record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Netherlands record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will United States record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$1.00Feb 23, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$1.00Feb 23, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Slovenia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Feb 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 21, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 21, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kazakhstan record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 21, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 21, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.00Feb 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$1.00Feb 21, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".