Notable-External
0xb8526f71d522737acefadf3a300bd0400784ac8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.01
Total PnL
$-14.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- UP
XRP Up or Down on June 12?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
UFC Fight Night: Will Imavov win by decision?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
- UP
Solana Up or Down on July 4?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$3.00May 10, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$4.35May 10, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.02May 10, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 11, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$4.00Dec 15, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$4.01Dec 15, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$5.00Dec 15, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 5, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.00Dec 5, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$2.00Nov 17, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$2.00Nov 17, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Will Imavov win by decision?$3.80Sep 6, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$2.00Aug 24, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$1.00Aug 24, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?$1.00Aug 24, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 4?$5.00Aug 24, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Netanyahu" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$5.00Aug 24, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Netanyahu" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$4.25Aug 8, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 4?$4.00Jul 31, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?$1.00Jul 22, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 04:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".