Polite-Circumstance
0xb85a86f7a76c46edbbe79b27ca91c8dfcce8ef2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.95
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3AM ET$0.78Jul 2, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3AM ET$1.00Jul 2, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2AM ET$1.00Jul 2, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET$0.00Jul 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 30?$0.00Jul 1, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$1.05Jul 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?$5.00Jul 1, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$2.00Jul 1, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?$2.00Jul 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET$1.00Jun 30, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET$1.00Jun 30, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET$1.00Jun 30, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 30?$1.00Jun 30, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 7AM ET$0.00Jun 30, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET$0.00Jun 30, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET$0.00Jun 30, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET$5.40Jun 30, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET$1.50Jun 30, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ET$2.76Jun 30, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ET$2.00Jun 30, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".