Ashamed-Laptop
0xb85ab54c5db35b14728a20fd49ded7f9bbbd9c16
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$40.26
Total PnL
$9.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$20.14
$10.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$20.12
$10.06
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 5 above $185?
17 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$10.41Jul 10, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$10.42Jun 4, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$3.80Apr 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.89Apr 27, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.00Apr 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.90Apr 19, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$3.70Mar 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$4.92Feb 28, 02:33 UTC
- REWARD$1.51Feb 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Radcliffe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.28Feb 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?$3.60Feb 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hegseth" during the State of the Union address?$9.32Feb 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?$13.40Feb 23, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Radcliffe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.80Feb 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?$14.00Feb 23, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?$0.66Feb 23, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?$1.76Feb 23, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?$1.98Feb 23, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hegseth" during the State of the Union address?$9.40Feb 23, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?$5.97Feb 23, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $32.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.