Excellent-Flanker
0xb85c9a41d181fe84bc5fcddd6a7f5123cef4b783
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SPOLU get less than 17% of the vote in the Czech election?
10792 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?
4173 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will ANO get more than 36% of the vote in the Czech election?
4048 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-587.62
- YES
Will SPD get more than 16% of the vote in the Czech election?
3820 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-269.62
- YES
Will STAČILO! get between 11% and 14% of the vote in the Czech election?
1515 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-61.34
- YES
Will STAČILO! get more than 14% of the vote in the Czech election?
975 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.71
- YES
Will STAČILO! get between 5% and 8% of the vote in the Czech election?
568 shares @ 73.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-418.13
- YES
Will SPD get between 13% and 16% of the vote in the Czech election?
459 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-175.46
- YES
Will STAČILO! get between 8% and 11% of the vote in the Czech election?
449 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-93.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill ANO get more than 36% of the vote in the Czech election?$8.68Oct 5, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?$11.8KOct 5, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$316.17Oct 1, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$28.00Oct 1, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$10.70Oct 1, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$10.00Oct 1, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$6.00Oct 1, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$6.00Oct 1, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$32.00Oct 1, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$2.00Oct 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$8.00Oct 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$20.00Oct 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$9.91Oct 1, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$20.00Oct 1, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$26.00Oct 1, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get less than 17% of the vote in the Czech election?$19.93Oct 1, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$7.20Oct 1, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$10.85Oct 1, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$4.34Oct 1, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$68.00Oct 1, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $312.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.