Hoarse-Park
0xb85d58fc1774d76ab71e5252d496562b1ba73bb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$40.41
Total PnL
$-14.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.76
$1.76
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.36
$1.36
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.87
$0.87
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$6.41
$1.41
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$11.90Mar 23, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$13.16Mar 23, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$11.96Dec 31, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$12.94Dec 31, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?$5.56Dec 20, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$4.94Dec 15, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Dec 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Dec 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$5.00Dec 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Dec 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Dec 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$5.00Dec 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Dec 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Dec 15, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.