Traumatic-Danger
0xb85e1858dc9519962c079e309d5c23e1013d743f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$6.71
Total PnL
$-379.76
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 19?
491 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.96
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?
248 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?
1238 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.62
$-9.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 18?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 18?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?
986 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.49
$-3.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?
829 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.41
$-4.58
- NO
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?
343 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.17
$-9.83
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.06
$-9.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?$1.04May 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?$1.07May 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$4.41May 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 19?$4.20May 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$4.65May 17, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00May 17, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?$5.02May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$5.20May 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next YouTube video?$4.16May 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$5.33May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$5.33May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$4.28May 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$5.35May 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.92May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.07May 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$12.82May 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$10.29May 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$4.08May 16, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".