Ordinary-Clock
0xb8609a638a5b11edf26ccb8c2c630f2d9be0d79b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$57.59
Total PnL
$-272.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Buffett say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?
58 shares @ 78.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2025$57.59
$12.59
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
419 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-244.79
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
383 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Buffett say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?$45.00Apr 24, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$45.98Apr 24, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 2 or more times during his Michigan town hall?$0.00Oct 22, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?$0.00Oct 22, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$244.79Oct 22, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 2 or more times during his Michigan town hall?$50.00Sep 26, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMCaroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?$165.74Sep 26, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "moderator" during his Nevada rally?$0.00Sep 24, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "tampon" during his Nevada rally?$0.00Sep 24, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "abortion" during his Nevada rally?$0.00Sep 24, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.00Sep 24, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House$20.00Sep 17, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$20.00Sep 17, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCaroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?$100.00Sep 17, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$100.00Sep 17, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "moderator" during his Nevada rally?$20.00Sep 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "tampon" during his Nevada rally?$20.00Sep 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "abortion" during his Nevada rally?$20.00Sep 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$40.00Sep 13, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$40.00Sep 13, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $51.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".