Strict-Likelihood
0xb861a846dadda56db3234154db9226a12e64834c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-282.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Wolverhampton beat Chelsea?
978 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2024$0.00
$-68.44
- YES
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?
328 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025$0.00
$-203.30
- YES
Will Brentford beat Liverpool?
200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Liverpool vs. Brentford end in a draw?
38 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2024$0.00
$-2.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham win on 2025-01-05?$203.30Jan 5, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool vs. Brentford end in a draw?$2.68Aug 25, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford beat Liverpool?$8.00Aug 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?$0.37Aug 25, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$108.56Aug 25, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$0.55Aug 25, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$7.56Aug 25, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$84.00Aug 25, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton beat Chelsea?$5.44Aug 25, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton beat Chelsea?$63.00Aug 25, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?$14.92Aug 25, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?$36.00Aug 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?$150.00Aug 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United beat Brighton?$5.44Aug 24, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United beat Brighton?$4.95Aug 24, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton beat Manchester United?$21.63Aug 24, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton beat Manchester United?$150.00Aug 24, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton beat Manchester United?$98.00Aug 24, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton beat Manchester United?$15.00Aug 24, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United beat Brighton?$69.30Aug 24, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $51.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".