Dental-Derby
0xb8627fefaaeeb92c6c662c2e7cad4a6788cdc8d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$540.00
Total PnL
$-10.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will BNB dip to $300 in March?
540 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$540.00
$0.54
- YES
Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?
730 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.92
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $2.10 on November 1?
712 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
338 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
206 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.44Mar 27, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $300 in March?$539.46Mar 26, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$500.00Mar 19, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$499.00Mar 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?$2.92Nov 9, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $2.10 on November 1?$4.50Oct 31, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?$150.00Oct 29, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on August 31?$170.34Oct 29, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4?$320.33Oct 29, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the UEFA Women's Euro?$600.00Oct 29, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$1.89Oct 9, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on August 31?$169.83Sep 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$129.49Sep 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$129.87Sep 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?$149.40Aug 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4?$311.36Aug 2, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the UEFA Women's Euro?$540.00Jul 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.99Jul 5, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.99Jul 4, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?$370.00Jun 23, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $424.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.