Melodic-Mark
0xb86477a1269c461860caed9dfe1c1bdcd5e7350d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
355326 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-966.13
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?
95748 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-191.11
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?
45602 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-214.65
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?
8492 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-249.99
- YES
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
6792 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?
4776 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-299.99
- YES
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
2164 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-154.17
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?
1800 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-234.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?
810 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-586.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$0.00May 30, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Okhdood SC vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?$0.00May 30, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$0.00May 30, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$138.75Apr 10, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$245.98Apr 9, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$483.81Apr 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$97.88Apr 8, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-01-18?$191.18Jan 18, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$191.18Jan 18, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-01-18?$214.67Jan 18, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$214.68Jan 18, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$270.68Jan 7, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$250.00Jan 5, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?$234.00Dec 30, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$45.29Dec 30, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$46.97Dec 30, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$26.53Dec 30, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$23.82Dec 30, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$4.05Dec 30, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$7.52Dec 30, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $231.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 23:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".