Favorable-Rocketship
0xb8656961af404ec023c53740808012d5f5dce922
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$20.69
Total PnL
$-124.84
Realised
$4.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$0.23
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$0.55
- YES
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
5 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.00
$0.34
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.53
$0.42
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 27.1¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.16
$-0.19
- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
160 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
70 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
40 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.80
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
27 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.35Apr 16, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$5.00Apr 13, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Smoke" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$5.00Apr 13, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$5.00Apr 13, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs$5.00Apr 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.45Apr 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$4.77Apr 12, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$1.99Apr 12, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$0.01Apr 12, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$4.66Apr 11, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.10Apr 11, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$4.70Apr 11, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Smoke" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$3.90Apr 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?$1.70Apr 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 12?$1.60Apr 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$4.92Apr 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs$3.95Apr 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$11.40Feb 28, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$35.20Feb 25, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$22.08Feb 25, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $33.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.