Flamboyant-Tension
0xb8685e9a3c0cd686b3e1d7bf3213e9d97636ae82
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-356.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October?
857 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?
690 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
370 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
286 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "Jew" in August?
143 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
100 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-6.80
- NO
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
71 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$40.00Nov 16, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$50.00Nov 16, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$962.82Nov 16, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$104.87Sep 2, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$40.00Aug 31, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$10.00Aug 24, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?$20.00Aug 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$20.00Aug 24, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Folks" three or more times at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Old" at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Alley cat" at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Weird "or "Weirdo" at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?$2.05Aug 23, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?$192.81Aug 23, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?$156.18Aug 20, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?$12.40Aug 20, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Folks" three or more times at DNC speech?$20.00Aug 20, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?$37.20Aug 20, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?$30.00Aug 20, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?$20.00Aug 20, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $57.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 00:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".